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In response to accelerating environmental crises, the European Union has introduced the —a landmark legislative effort to halt and reverse biodiversity loss across member states. A key component of the law is Article 8, which mandates the restoration of urban ecosystems. But how will growing cities balance these environmental demands with increasing population pressures?

from 911������ and the University of Helsinki—part of the CO-CARBON research project—examines this question using Helsinki as a case study. The results reveal that while the NRL offers an improvement over business-as-usual urban development, its current focus on quantitative green space targets will not, on their own, stop biodiversity loss in cities. The study advises that real restoration can only be achieved if the quality of green spaces is considered, not just the quantity.

‘Restoring biodiversity in expanding cities requires a holistic approach to planning. We need to reconcile population growth with green infrastructure that serves both people and nature. That means strategic, cross-sectoral decision-making focused not just on how much green space we have, but on how ecologically valuable it is,’ says postdoctoral researcher Antti Kinnunen, the study’s lead author.

The research modeled how various urban growth and greening scenarios would affect biodiversity and carbon sinks in Helsinki. It’s the first study of its kind in Finland, and among the first internationally, to explore the real-world implications of implementing the NRL in urban areas.

In a scenario based on the NRL’s minimum requirements, biodiversity declined less than under typical urban growth—but still resulted in a nearly 10% decline in the citywide biodiversity index. Only the most ambitious greening scenario, aligned with the law’s original goal of “no net loss,” led to a slight increase in biodiversity. Yet this scenario also required intensified urban density, reducing accessible green areas and potentially exacerbating climate impacts such as urban heatwaves.

The study highlights that the existing quantitative greening targets and treating all green areas as ecologically equal is problematic. For example, a hectare of lawn does not offer the same biodiversity or carbon sequestration potential as a hectare of woodland.

Moreover, urban green areas provide different benefits depending on their local context. The researchers call for biodiversity and climate targets to be pursued in parallel, while also recognizing when those goals may be in conflict. For instance, planting forests in open habitats may increase carbon storage but reduce biodiversity.

The researchers recommend that qualitative criteria concerning biodiversity and carbon sink potential for urban green spaces be integrated into Finland’s forthcoming national restoration plan. Although the NRL mandates monitoring at national and regional levels, both the benefits and the actions needed to achieve them take place locally. Cities must therefore embed biodiversity and ecosystem services into planning—from masterplans to the implementation of parks, street trees, and private gardens.

'This research underscores the need to merge top-down legislative targets with bottom-up, context-sensitive action,' Kinnunen says. 'Only then can urban nature truly recover.'

npj Urban Sustainability: